WISHFUL THINKING

The number of listings in the Active status at 414 is the highest I can recall from the time that I’ve been saving these surveys.

While the number of listings in the Pending status is up over the previous three years at this time, the number continues to be skewed by the increasing number of distressed sales.  It appears to me that those who are purchasing this type of property seem to believe they are getting a “deal”.  Of the 221 total Pending sales 61 (28%) are listed as Short Sales.  20(9%) of the total Pending Sales are banked owned (REO).  A total of approximately 37% of the Pending sales are distressed sales. When compared to the number of closed transactions, these transactions can best be described as “Wishful thinking.”

The number of month-to-date Closed transactions is up slightly from last year, but down from 2008.  With 89 Closed transactions so far this month, 9 (10%) are Short Sales and 1 (less than 1%) is an REO.  So to put it bluntly more than 1/3 of the Pending sales are distressed sales while slightly more than 1/10 of the Closed transactions, where the “rubber meets the road” were distressed sales.

July 25, 2010 Spreadsheet

The link to the spreadsheet above is for single family residences only on the date posted and for the communities listed.  Any link identified in this blog as a “Spreadsheet” is basically the same but for different time periods.

July 25,2010 Chart

The link above to the Chart is intended to give  a visual historical representation of the same communities comparing the current time period with the same time periods for the previous three years.

July 25, 2010 Short Sales

The link to the spreadsheet above is  one of the newly expanded postings.  It is set up similarly to the other basic spreadsheets but with data only applying to those homes listed in MLS as Short Sale.  Please note that this spreadsheet now includes Maximum, Median and Minimum pricing for properties in the Active, Pending and Month-to-date listing statuses.  In the Sold Status, the number of properties that sold at or above the asking price are noted, as well as the price differentials for the Maximum, Median and Minimum priced homes.

July 25, 2010 REO

The link to the spreadsheet above is another one of the newly expanded postings.  It is set up similarly to the other basic spreadsheets but with data only applying to those homes listed in MLS as a REO (Bank Owned).  Please note that this spreadsheet now includes Maximum, Median and Minimum pricing for properties in the Active, Pending and Month-to-date listing statuses.  In the Sold Status, the number of properties that sold at or above the asking price are noted, as well as the price differentials for the Maximum, Median and Minimum priced homes.

July 26, 2009 Spreadsheet

July27, 2008 Spreadsheet

July 22, 2007 Spreadsheet

The three spreadsheets links listed above contain the three-year historical raw data that is used in the July 25, 2010 Chart above.

July 25, 2004 Spreadsheet

The link to the 2004 Spreadsheet above is provided for historical perspective.  2004 was the year between 1999 to date that had the greatest number of homes and condominium/townhome closed sales in all of San Mateo County.

Local Multiple Offer Activity

Last Friday there were 10 reported offers on a home in San Mateo priced just above $1,050,000.  Two of those offers came from agents in my office.  One of those offers was roughly 10% over the asking price and was still unsucessessful.  Our agent was told the her offer was the third best.  It is amazing to me that with the current  increase of inventory and the decling number of closed escrows that other properties are getting little or no activity.  My office now knows that there at least 9 unsuccessful buyers for this type of property, including the two from our office, but at this moment, none of the other properties available create that level of buyer enthusiasm.  There were supposedly several offers a Hillsborough home last night and I’m told my office has at least one of them.  It will be interesting to learn  the results of this offer presentation in light of the sheer number of active listings in Hillsborough.

This week’s surveys:

July 18, 2010 Spreadsheet

The link to the spreadsheet above is for single family residences only on the date posted and for the communities listed.  Any link identified in this blog as a “Spreadsheet” is basically the same but for different time periods.

 July 18, 2010 Chart

The link above to the Chart is intended to give a visual historical representation of the same communities comparing the current time period with the same time periods for the previous three years.

July 19, 2009 Spreadsheet

July 20, 2008 Spreadsheet

July 15, 2007 Spreadsheet

The three spreadsheets links listed above contain the three-year historical raw data that is used in the July 18, 2010 Chart above.

As 2004 was the year with the highest number of closed transactions in all of San Mateo County since 1999, the data provided in the link below for the six survey communities is for comparison.

July 18, 2004 Spreadsheet

Inman’s Agent Reboot

Yesterday I attended Inman’s Agent Reboot in San Francisco.  What a fabulous event.  My head is swimming with ideas and I’m realtively certain the pieces are in place to make this a better blog site.  Look for the changes in the site and improvements in my ability to make this more interactive.in the coming months.   It will take this 60-year old man a little time to catch up on my technological prowess.  My speciality has been and always will be real estate.  Besides music, it’s my passion.

 This week’s surveys:

July 11, 2010 Spreadsheet

The link to the spreadsheet above is for single family residences only on the date posted and for the communities listed.  Any link identified in this blog as a “Spreadsheet” is basically the same but for different time periods.

 July 11, 2010 Chart

The link above to the Chart is intended to give a visual historical representation of the same communities comparing the current time period with the same time periods for the previous three years.

July 12, 2009 Spreadsheet

July 13, 2008 Spreadsheet

July 15, 2007 Spreadsheet

The three spreadsheets links listed above contain the three-year historical raw data that is used in the July 11, 2010 Chart above.

As 2004 was the year with the highest number of closed transactions in all of San Mateo County since 1999, the data provided in the link below for the six survey communities is for comparison.

July 11, 2004 Spreadsheet